Larry Hartstein has revealed his NFL Sunday Night Football bets and NFL picks against the spread for Washington vs. Atlanta
The Atlanta Falcons will try to stay in the race for the NFC South title when they battle the Washington Commanders on Sunday Night Football. Atlanta is coming off a 34-7 win over the New York Giants, while Washington outlasted the Philadelphia Eagles, 36-33, in Week 16. The Falcons (8-7), who entered the week tied for first with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, have won two in a row and are 4-3 on the road this season. The Commanders (10-5), second in the NFC East, are 6-2 on their home field in 2024.
Kickoff from Northwest Stadium in Landover, Md., is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Washington is a 3.5-point favorite in the latest Falcons vs. Commanders odds from the SportsLine Consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 46.5. Before you make any Falcons vs. Commanders bets or picks, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine expert Larry Hartstein, considering his mastery of picks involving Atlanta.
A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed working for Pro Football Focus. He tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, going 53-34-3 ATS. Hartstein’s weekly Vegas contest selections form the basis of his NFL best bets column, which is 79-48-2 (62.2%, +25.95 units) since its inception in 2022. He’s also an amazing 51-29-2 (+1700) on his last 82 NFL picks on the Falcons. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen huge returns.
Now, Hartstein has locked in on Falcons vs. Commanders and just revealed his coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for Commanders vs. Falcons:
- Falcons vs. Commanders spread: Washington -3.5
- Falcons vs. Commanders over/under: 46.5 points
- Falcons vs. Commanders money line: Washington -183, Atlanta +152
- ATL: Falcons are 4-5-1 against the spread in their last 10 games
- WAS: Commanders have hit the Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.2 units)
- Falcons vs. Commanders picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Falcons vs. Commanders streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Commanders can cover
Quarterback Jayden Daniels, one of the leading candidates for Rookie of the Year, powers Washington’s offense. In 15 games, he has completed 301 of 432 passes (69.7%) for 3,303 yards and 22 touchdowns with eight interceptions for a 101.3 rating. He is also the team’s leading rusher, carrying 128 times for 737 yards (5.8 average) and six touchdowns. He has six explosive plays on the ground, including a long of 46 yards. He had 339 yards from scrimmage, including 258 passing, in last week’s win over the Eagles.
Daniels’ top target is veteran wide receiver Terry McLaurin. The sixth-year veteran leads the team with 73 receptions for 1,029 yards (14.1 average) and 12 touchdowns with 12 explosive plays, including a long of 86 yards. He has 279 yards after the catch and has 52 first-down conversions. See who to back at SportsLine.
Why the Falcons can cover
Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. has taken over at quarterback and is fresh off leading Atlanta to a dominant win over the Giants. In that game, he completed 18 of 27 passes for 202 yards and one interception in his first career start. For the season, he has played in three games, completing 21 of 32 passes for 240 yards. Last season at the University of Washington, Penix threw for 4,903 yards, completing 65.4% of his passes with 36 touchdowns and 11 interceptions for a 157.1 rating.
Atlanta’s ground game is led by veteran running back Bijan Robinson. In 15 games this season, he has carried 259 times for 1,196 yards (4.6 average) and 10 touchdowns. He has four explosive plays of 20 yards or more, including a long of 37, with 61 first-down conversions. He is also dangerous out of the backfield, with 56 receptions for 420 yards and one touchdown. See who to back at SportsLine.
How to make Commanders vs. Falcons picks
Hartstein has analyzed Falcons vs. Commanders from every possible angle, and while we can tell you he’s leaning Over the total, he has also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. Find out what it is, and which team to back, at SportsLine.
So who wins Commanders vs. Falcons on Sunday Night Football, and what critical x-factor makes one side of the spread hit hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Commanders vs. Falcons spread to back, all from the expert who is an amazing 51-29 on picks involving Atlanta, and find out.
