SportsLine’s model simulated Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks 10,000 times and revealed its NBA picks for Sunday’s Game 4 Eastern Conference playoff first-round matchup
The Milwaukee Bucks will look to even up their best-of-seven Eastern Conference first-round matchup when they battle the Indiana Pacers in Game 4 on Sunday night. Milwaukee defeated Indiana 117-101 after the Pacers won the first two games of the series. The Pacers (50-32), who are 12-5 all-time in playoff games against Milwaukee, are 20-21 on the road this season, including the postseason. The Bucks (48-34), who entered the playoffs on an eight-game winning streak, are 28-14 on their home court in 2024-25.
Tip-off from Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee is set for 9:30 p.m. ET. The Bucks are 4.5-point favorites in the latest Pacers vs. Bucks odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 225.5. The Bucks are -192 on the money line (risk $192 to win $100), while the Pacers are +160 (risk $100 to win $160). Before making any Bucks vs. Pacers picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the first full week of the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 156-116 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 22-11 (67%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has simulated Pacers vs. Bucks 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Pacers vs. Bucks:
- Pacers vs. Bucks spread: Milwaukee -4.5 at DraftKings
- Pacers vs. Bucks over/under: 225.5 points
- Pacers vs. Bucks money line: Indiana +160, Milwaukee -192
- IND: The Pacers have hit the money line in 42 of their last 60 games (+33.80 units)
- MIL: The Bucks have covered the spread in 18 of their last 25 home games (+10.30 units)
- Pacers vs. Bucks picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Pacers vs. Bucks streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Bucks can cover
Power forward Giannis Antetokounmpo has been dominant in the series, posting double-doubles in all three games. In Friday’s win over the Pacers, he poured in 37 points, while grabbing 12 rebounds and dishing out six assists. He had 34 points, 18 rebounds and seven assists in the 123-115 Game 2 loss at Indiana on Tuesday. In three postseason games, he is averaging 35.7 points, 14 rebounds, 4.7 assists and one block in 36.7 minutes.
Shooting guard Gary Trent Jr. went off on Indiana in Game 3, connecting on nine 3-pointers, while scoring 37 points, making four steals and grabbing three rebounds. He had 14 points, two rebounds and two assists in Game 1. In three postseason games, he is averaging 18.3 points, two rebounds, two steals and one assist in 30.3 minutes. He averaged 11.1 points in 74 regular-season games. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why the Pacers can cover
Power forward Pascal Siakam continues to power the Indiana offense. He poured in 28 points, grabbed five boards, made two steals and dished out two assists in 31 minutes in the Game 3 loss. He posted a double-double with 24 points, 11 rebounds, three assists and three steals in a Game 2 win over the Bucks. In three postseason games, Siakam is averaging 25.7 points, 7.7 rebounds, 2.3 assists and two steals in 32.7 minutes.
Point guard Tyrese Haliburton has been a thorn in Milwaukee’s side. He has registered a double-double in all three playoff games, including a 14-point, 10-assist and seven-rebound effort in Game 3. He scored 21 points and added 12 assists and five rebounds in Game 2. In three playoff games, Haliburton is averaging 15 points, 11.3 assists and 6.3 rebounds in 33.7 minutes. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Pacers vs. Bucks picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated Bucks vs. Pacers 10,000 times and is leaning Under the total, projecting 222 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.
So who wins Pacers vs. Bucks, and which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Pacers vs. Bucks spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
