SportsLine’s model simulated Memphis Grizzlies vs. Oklahoma City Thunder 10,000 times and revealed its NBA picks for Tuesday’s 2025 NBA playoff matchup
The top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder meet the 8-seed Memphis Grizzlies in a Game 2 showdown on Tuesday evening. The Thunder are aiming to defend their home court again and go up 2-0 in this 2025 NBA playoff series. OKC torched the Grizzlies 131-80, en route to the largest point margin playoff win in team history. Memphis has lost Game 1 of its first-round matchups in the past three appearances.
Tipoff is at 7:30 p.m. ET from the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. OKC is a 14.5-point favorite in the latest Grizzlies vs. Thunder odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points is 229. Before locking in any Thunder vs. Grizzlies picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the first full week of the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 156-116 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 22-11 (67%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has simulated Grizzlies vs. Thunder 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Grizzlies vs. Thunder:
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies spread: Oklahoma City -14.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies over/under: 229 points
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies money line: Oklahoma City -1142, Memphis +700
- OKC: Thunder are 54-26-4 against the spread this season
- MEM: Grizzlies are 43-41-1 against the spread this season
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Thunder can cover
The Thunder have multiple players who can step in when needed. In Game 1, there were six players who scored in double figures. Guard Aaron Wiggins excels off the ball and has a pure perimeter jumper on the outside. In Sunday’s victory, he had a team-high 21 points, four rebounds, three assists and went 4-of-7 from beyond the arc.
Forward Jalen Williams is an athletic two-way threat for the Thunder. He has the ability to score from all three levels. During the regular season, he averaged 21.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game. In the Game 1 win, Williams had 20 points, five boards and six dimes. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why the Grizzlies can cover
Guard Ja Morant gives the Grizzlies their top playmaker on the offensive end. In the regular season, Morant logged 23.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 7.3 assists per game. Morant has supplied more than 20 points in 19 of his last 20 games. In the March 5 loss to the Thunder, Morant had 24 points and six assists.
Guard Desmond Bane provides Memphis with a floor spacer shooter who can also be a playmaker when needed. He averaged 19.2 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game in the regular season. The 26-year-old has totaled 20-plus points in four of his last six games. On April 18 against the Mavs, Bane had 22 points and nine assists. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Grizzlies vs. Thunder picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated Grizzlies vs. Thunder and is leaning Under the total, projecting 221 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 70% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.
So who wins Grizzlies vs. Thunder, and which side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Grizzlies vs. Thunder spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
